Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
50.32% ( 1.35) | 24.68% ( -0.35) | 25% ( -1) |
Both teams to score 52.82% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.6% ( 0.66) | 49.4% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.55% ( 0.59) | 71.44% ( -0.59) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.36% ( 0.82) | 19.64% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.39% ( 1.32) | 51.61% ( -1.32) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% ( -0.47) | 34.27% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% ( -0.52) | 70.97% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.91% Total : 50.32% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.2% Total : 25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
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