MX23RW : Tuesday, March 5 13:24:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 3, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Estoril
Braga
3 - 1
Estoril
Horta (31'), Banza (51'), Carne (90' og.)
Fonte (26'), Moutinho (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guitane (24')
Pina (42'), Feltes (67')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Mafra
Sunday, November 26 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Braga 2-1 Estoril Praia

Braga put in a huge effort to earn a point off Union Berlin on Wednesday, but the hosts should be able to rotate their side to good effect on Sunday. Estoril are enjoying a slight upturn in form but have been largely unconvincing on the road this term, and we expect that theme to continue in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
65.57% (-1.163 -1.16) 18.88% (0.303 0.3) 15.55% (0.862 0.86)
Both teams to score 56.84% (1.123 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36% (0.409 0.41)36.64% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.2% (0.444 0.44)58.8% (-0.443 -0.44)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.55% (-0.173 -0.17)10.45% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.94% (-0.398 -0.4)34.06% (0.4 0.4)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.48% (1.374 1.37)36.52% (-1.374 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.69% (1.36 1.36)73.31% (-1.358 -1.36)
Score Analysis
    Braga 65.57%
    Estoril Praia 15.55%
    Draw 18.88%
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-1 @ 7.38% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.33% (-0.318 -0.32)
4-1 @ 4.17% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.14% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.118 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.1% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 65.57%
1-1 @ 8.68% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.193 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.88%
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.202 0.2)
0-1 @ 3.85% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 15.55%

How you voted: Braga vs Estoril

Braga
100%
Draw
0.0%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Braga
4-1
Estoril
Ruiz (17'), Pizzi (70'), Medeiros (82' pen.), Mendes (90+4')
Eduardo (48')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Estoril
0-2
Braga
Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
Apr 18, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Estoril
0-0
Braga
Gamboa (90')
Dec 5, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 13
Braga
2-0
Estoril
Horta (34', 39')
Oliveira (13'), Silva (15'), Mineiro (20'), Gorby (81'), Silva (90+6')
Mineiro (65')

Fonte (49'), Soria (57'), Baro (71')
Mar 3, 2018 8.30pm
Estoril
0-6
Braga

Kleber (22'), Allano (47'), Dankler (89')
Eduardo (7'), Paulinho (44', 68'), Horta (45', 93'), Martins (77')
Silva (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon23192266244259
2Benfica24184256203658
3Porto24164443172652
4Braga24154553332049
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes24135638261244
6MoreirenseMoreirense2411672726139
7AroucaArouca241041043331034
8FamalicaoFamalicao236982429-527
9Gil Vicente2476113437-327
10Casa Pia2476112235-1327
11SC FarenseFarense2475123235-326
12BoavistaBoavista2467113145-1425
13Rio AveRio Ave2441192534-923
14PortimonensePortimonense2465132449-2523
15Estoril PraiaEstoril2464144046-622
16Estrela Amadora2457122338-1522
17ChavesChaves2446142454-3018
18Vizela2439122347-2418

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