Champions League
Nov 8, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Lucas Vazquez 4' yellowcard
  • Brahim Diaz 27' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 58' goal
  • Rodrygo 61' goal

Real Madrid vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 8.00pm
Braga 1 - 2 Real Madrid

Braga

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 8.00pm
Braga 1 - 2 Real Madrid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Braga had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 55.39% (+0.02)
Draw 22.31% (-0.01)
Braga 22.3% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.4% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.17% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 41.83% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 35.77% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 64.23% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 18.85% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.15% (-0.01)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 85% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 15% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 56.55% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 43.45% (-0.02)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 67.53% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.47%
Over 1.5 31.01% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.99%

Score analysis

Real Madrid 55.39%
Draw 22.31%
Braga 22.3%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.54% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 55.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 5.55%
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.31%
Braga
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 22.3%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Alvaro Djalo 63' goal
  • goal Rodrygo 16'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 61'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 72'
  • yellowcard Nacho 90'+3'

Build-up

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