Champions League
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-
Alvaro Djalo
63'
-
Rodrygo
16'
-
Jude Bellingham
61'
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Eduardo Camavinga
72'
-
Nacho
90'+3'
Braga vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match.
Result
Braga
36.09%
▼
(-0.94)
Draw
23.58%
▼
(-0.07)
Real Madrid
40.33%
▲
(+1.01)
Both Teams to Score:
62.95%
▲
(+0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.11%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 2.5
38.89%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 3.5
38.8%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 3.5
61.2%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 4.5
21.18%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 4.5
78.82%
▼
(-0.19)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5
78.33%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
21.67%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 1.5
45.2%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 1.5
54.8%
▲
(+0.58)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
80.36%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 0.5
19.63%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 1.5
48.4%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 1.5
51.59%
▼
(-0.90)
Score analysis
Braga
36.09%
Draw
23.57%
Real Madrid
40.33%
Braga
2-1
@
8.1%
▼
(-0.13)
1-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 36.09%
1-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 36.09%
Draw
1-1
@
10.59%
▼
(-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.57%
2-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.57%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
8.62%
▲
(+0.12)
0-1 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.13)
1-4 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 40.33%
0-1 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.13)
1-4 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 40.33%
Form Data
Build-up
News