Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 2
Napoli

Bruma (84')
Djalo (44'), Fonte (55'), Borja (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Di Lorenzo (45+1'), Niakate (88' og.)
Zambo Anguissa (19'), Osimhen (41'), Politano (56'), Raspadori (79'), Olivera (86'), Jesus (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Braga and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Farense 3-1 Braga
Saturday, September 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Braga had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Napoli
28.01% ( 0)	25.95%	46.04% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.4% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.53% (

0.01)

52.46% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.86% (

74.14% (

-0)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.54% (

33.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.91% (

70.09% (

-0)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.24% (

22.75% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.56% (

56.44% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Braga 28.01%

Napoli 46.04%

Draw 25.95%

Braga	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.01%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 8.34% 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.09% Total : 46.04%