Champions League
Sep 20, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Alvaro Djalo 44' yellowcard
  • Jose Fonte 55' yellowcard
  • Cristian Borja 66' yellowcard
  • Bruma 84' goal
  • yellowcard Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa 19'
  • yellowcard Victor Osimhen 41'
  • goal Giovanni Di Lorenzo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Matteo Politano 56'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Raspadori 79'
  • yellowcard Mathias Olivera 86'
  • goal Sikou Niakate 88' (OG)
  • yellowcard Juan Jesus 90'+3'

Braga vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Napoli

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Braga had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result

Braga 28.01% (+0.01)
Draw 25.95%
Napoli 46.04% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.4% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.53% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 52.46% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 25.86% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 74.14% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 11.91% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.09% (-0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 66.54% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.46% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.91% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 70.09% (-0.01)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 77.24% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.75% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 43.56% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.44% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Braga 28.01%
Draw 25.95%
Napoli 46.04%
Braga
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.76%
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 28.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.95%
Napoli
0-1 @ 11.27%
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 8.34%
1-3 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67%
0-4 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3%
Total : 46.04%