Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Braga

Farense
3 - 1
Braga

Duarte (31'), Costa (44'), Belloumi (58')
Silva (37'), Talocha (62'), Costa (71'), Jorge (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Banza (56')
Moutinho (37'), Ruiz (50'), Oliveira (83'), Zalazar (86'), Elmusrati (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Farense
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 2-3 Braga
Saturday, September 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
SC FarenseDrawBraga
21.69% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)23.22%55.09% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.54% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)46.55% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)35.68% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)72.45% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.24%16.76% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.3%46.7% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 21.69%
    Braga 55.09%
    Draw 23.21%
SC FarenseDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.16%
2-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 21.69%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-2 @ 9.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.85%
0-3 @ 5.68% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.61%
0-4 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.35%
1-5 @ 0.93%
0-5 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 55.09%

How you voted: Farense vs Braga

SC Farense
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Braga
85.7%
14
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2021 6.45pm
Gameweek 25
Farense
1-2
Braga
P (34')
Elmusrati (29'), Sporar (90+1')
Borja (49')
Nov 29, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 8
Braga
1-0
Farense
Elmusrati (87')
Carmo (3'), Fransergio (58'), Novais (79')

Oudrhiri (46'), Falcao (81'), Gauld (90+2')