Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Braga |
| 21.69% ( | 23.22% | 55.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( | 46.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.18% ( | 68.82% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( | 35.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.55% ( | 72.45% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% | 16.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.3% | 46.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.16% 2-1 @ 5.67% ( 2-0 @ 3.18% ( 3-1 @ 1.95% ( 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 3-0 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 21.69% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 1-3 @ 5.85% 0-3 @ 5.68% ( 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 1-4 @ 2.61% 0-4 @ 2.54% ( 2-4 @ 1.35% 1-5 @ 0.93% 0-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 55.09% |