Champions League
Aug 15, 2023 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 4
FT Gradski stadion
  • Mateja Dordevic 22' yellowcard
  • Marko Rakonjac 40' goal
  • Milos Pantovic 47' yellowcard
  • goal Pizzi 8'
  • goal Bruma 12'
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 16'
  • goal Ali Elmusrati 20'

Backa Topola vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Backa Topola

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 8, 2023 8.00pm
Braga 3 - 0 Backa Topola

Braga

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 8, 2023 8.00pm
Braga 3 - 0 Backa Topola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result

Backa Topola 23.97% (+0.06)
Draw 23.69% (+0.02)
Braga 52.34% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.91% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.88% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 46.11% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.58% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 68.42% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.78% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.22% (+0.03)

Backa Topola Goals

Over 0.5 66.64% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 33.36% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 30.02% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 69.98% (-0.03)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 82.4% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 17.6% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 51.82% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 48.18% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Backa Topola 23.97%
Draw 23.68%
Braga 52.34%
Backa Topola
1-0 @ 6.45% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.15% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.54% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 23.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.68%
Braga
0-1 @ 10.2% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.86% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.63% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.13% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.23% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52.34%

Head to Head

Champions League
Aug 8, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Bruma 17' goal
  • Pizzi 19' goal
  • Ali Elmusrati 74' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Djalo 87' goal
  • yellowcard Mateja Dordevic 4'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Petrovic 43'