Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Backa Topola had a probability of 11.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Backa Topola win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Backa Topola
70.17% ( 0.01)	18.01%	11.81% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.1% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.56% (

-0.01)

41.43% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.17% (

-0.01)

63.83% (

0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.38% (

10.62% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.57%

34.43% (

Backa Topola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.94% (

-0.02)

45.06% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.02% (

-0.01)

80.98% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Braga 70.17%

Backa Topola 11.81%

Draw 18.01%

Braga	Draw	Backa Topola
2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 4.07% Total : 70.17%	1-1 @ 8.55% 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 18.01%	0-1 @ 3.81% 1-2 @ 3.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.15% Total : 11.81%