Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Santa Clara

Braga
5 - 3
Santa Clara

Horta (10'), Niakate (35'), Ruiz (45+5'), Bruma (87'), Pizzi (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Babi (17' pen., 70' pen.), Boateng (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Braga
Saturday, May 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Clara 3-2 Gil Vicente
Saturday, May 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 85.19%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 4.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.91%) and 1-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawSanta Clara
85.19% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)10.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)4.02%
Both teams to score 35.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)36.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)6.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.68%23.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.42%62.58% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.09%91.91% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Braga 85.19%
    Santa Clara 4.02%
    Draw 10.79%
BragaDrawSanta Clara
2-0 @ 14.97%
3-0 @ 13.91%
1-0 @ 10.74%
4-0 @ 9.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 6.52%
5-0 @ 5.4%
4-1 @ 4.54%
5-1 @ 2.53%
6-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.53%
6-1 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 1.07%
7-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 85.19%
1-1 @ 5.04%
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 10.79%
0-1 @ 1.81%
1-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 4.02%

How you voted: Braga vs Santa Clara

Braga
95.5%
Draw
4.5%
Santa Clara
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2023 8.15pm
gameweek 15
Santa Clara
0-4
Braga
Horta (15', 80'), Medeiros (16'), Horta (53')
Oliveira (82')
Feb 28, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 24
Braga
0-0
Santa Clara

Castro (29'), Silva (37'), Tormena (75')

Morita (34'), Mansur (41'), Carvalho (53')
Mansur (78'), Morita (89')
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
gameweek 7
Santa Clara
1-1
Braga
Lincoln (90+5')
Mansur (42'), Villanueva (45+5'), Carvalho (62')
Oliveira (71')
Leite (37')
Feb 14, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 19
Santa Clara
0-1
Braga

Carlos (75'), Ramos (83'), Patric (90+1')
Borja (11')
Silva (62'), Sequeira (90+2')
Jan 29, 2021 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Braga
2-1
Santa Clara
Horta (25'), Ruiz (43')
Horta (40')
Crysan (90+6')
Villanueva (90')