/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbralog.png)
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Uros Racic
25'
-
Pizzi
43'
-
Uros Racic
53'
-
Simon Banza
76'
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Simon Banza
90'+1'
Nacional vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F08%2Fbraga.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result
Nacional
21.04%
▲
(+0.81)
Draw
22.8%
▲
(+0.28)
Braga
56.16%
▼
(-1.08)
Both Teams to Score:
53.95%
▲
(+0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.46%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
45.54%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 3.5
32.13%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
67.87%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
16.17%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
83.83%
▲
(+0.10)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
64.25%
▲
(+0.74)
Under 0.5
35.75%
▼
(-0.74)
Over 1.5
27.48%
▲
(+0.75)
Under 1.5
72.52%
▼
(-0.75)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5
83.97%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 0.5
16.03%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 1.5
54.62%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 1.5
45.38%
▲
(+0.76)
Score analysis
Nacional
21.04%
Draw
22.8%
Braga
56.16%
Nacional
1-0
@
5.9%
▲
(+0.15)
2-1 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-96.36)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 21.04%
2-1 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-96.36)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 21.04%
Draw
1-1
@
10.79%
▲
(+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.8%
0-0 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.8%
Braga
0-1
@
10.49%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 9.88% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.09)
0-4 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.14)
2-4 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 56.16%
1-2 @ 9.88% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.09)
0-4 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.14)
2-4 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 56.16%
