Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves1 - 2Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Chaves
Saturday, March 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-0 Porto
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Chaves 1-2 Braga
While Braga will be looking to return to winning ways and keep their quest for an automatic Champions League spot alive, they face a resurgent Chaves side who have been solid in their last two outings. However, we are backing Jorge's men to take the positives from their draw against Porto and claim all three points here, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Braga |
26.91% ( 0.73) | 23.99% ( 0.13) | 49.1% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 56.84% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
