Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Braga |
| 31.01% ( | 25.65% ( | 43.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.21% ( | 49.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% ( | 71.79% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( | 29.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% ( | 66% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( | 22.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( | 56.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 3-0 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 31.01% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.34% |