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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Famalicao logo

Braga
4 - 1
Famalicao

Mihaj (22' og.), Banza (79'), Bruma (90+1', 90+3')
Elmusrati (53'), Medeiros (60'), Oliveira (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sanca (71')
Youssouf (45+1'), Assuncao (81'), Rodrigues (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Wednesday, February 1 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, January 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 Famalicao

Off the back of a humbling loss to Sporting Lisbon, Braga will head into the weekend looking to make an immediate positive reaction. Famalicao have proven tough to crack in recent weeks and we expect them to put up a fight. Nonetheless, Braga boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we anticipate that they will come away with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawFamalicao
63.82% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07) 21.93% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 14.25% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 43.69% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)52.48% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)74.15% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.16% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)15.84% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.96% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)45.03% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.92% (0.059000000000005 0.06)48.08% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.71% (0.042999999999999 0.04)83.29% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Braga 63.81%
    Famalicao 14.25%
    Draw 21.92%
BragaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 14.03%
2-0 @ 12.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 63.81%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.47% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.92%
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.76% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 14.25%

How you voted: Braga vs Famalicao

Braga
89.7%
Draw
10.3%
Famalicao
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 8.15pm
Famalicao
0-3
Braga

Batubinsika (25'), De La Fuente (90+3'), Sa (90+5')
Sequeira (13'), Banza (18', 79')
Silva (45+1')
May 15, 2022 6pm
Famalicao
3-2
Braga
Banza (43', 89'), Rodrigues (80')
Pickel (12'), Pepe (38'), Banza (90')
Riccieli (90+6')
Horta (1'), Oliveira (19')
Elmusrati (12'), Carmo (35'), Tormena (59')
Carmo (90+6')
Jan 9, 2022 6pm
Braga
2-2
Famalicao
Horta (13'), Gonzalez (90')
Elmusrati (9'), Oliveira (68')
Rodrigues (24')
Lima (31'), Rodrigues (81')
Pickel (48'), Banza (68'), Rodrigues (78'), Brazao (88')
Mar 15, 2021 8.15pm
Famalicao
2-2
Braga
Silva (18'), Tavares (87')
Figueiras (68'), Assuncao (70'), Dias (90+3')
Horta (36' pen.), Elmusrati (39')
Esgaio (17'), Rodrigues (85')
Nov 2, 2020 6.45pm
Braga
1-0
Famalicao
Viana (76')
Esgaio (85')

Vana (30'), Assuncao (32'), Patrick (57'), Babic (73'), Lukovic (88')
Riccieli (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10SC FarenseFarense3197154244-234
11Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
12Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
13Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora31611143249-1729
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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