Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Feb 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
4 - 1
Famalicao

Mihaj (22' og.), Banza (79'), Bruma (90+1', 90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sanca (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Wednesday, February 1 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, January 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Famalicao
63.82% ( -0.07)	21.93% ( 0.03)	14.25% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 43.69% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.52% (

-0.02)

52.48% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.85% (

-0.01)

74.15% (

0.02)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.16% (

-0.03)

15.84% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.96% (

-0.06)

45.03% (

0.06)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.92% (

0.06)

48.08% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.71% (

0.04)

83.29% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Braga 63.81%

Famalicao 14.25%

Draw 21.92%

Braga	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 14.03% 2-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.86% Total : 63.81%	1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.92%	0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 14.25%