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Benfica
Boavista
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Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Braga

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 2
Braga

Holsgrove (68')
Carlos (38'), Marafona (84')
de Brito Gonzaga (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oliveira (58'), Banza (90+8')
Sequeira (20'), Horta (38'), Oliveira (81'), Santos (90+11'), Santos (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Boavista
Saturday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Braga

In the presence of UEFA-designated tournaments since 2004-05, we predict that Braga will continue their aspirations of not only once gracing both domestic and continental engagements but keep their dream of winning their first-ever Primeira Liga title alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBraga
19.47% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 22.35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 58.17% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.91% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)45.71% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)68.03% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)37.45% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (-0.081 -0.08)74.23% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)15.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.23% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 19.47%
    Braga 58.17%
    Draw 22.35%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBraga
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.21% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 19.47%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 10.09% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.29% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 58.17%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Braga

Pacos de Ferreira
5.6%
Draw
2.8%
Braga
91.7%
36
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 7pm
Feb 12, 2022 3.30pm
Braga
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Horta (67', 90')
Horta (45'), Buta (56'), Horta (64'), Castro (90+3')
Horta (71')
Antunes (45+1')
Uilton (40'), Baixinho (66')
Oct 28, 2021 8.15pm
Braga
0-0
Pacos de Ferreira

Moura (28'), Leite (50'), Sequeira (80')
Moura (45+1')

Bastos (28'), Vekic (42'), de Brito Gonzaga (49'), Djalo (60'), Silva (77'), Denilson (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 3.30pm
May 5, 2021 7pm
Braga
1-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Galeno (78' pen.)
Ruiz (90+2')
Pedro (26')
Amaral (33'), Pedro (39'), Silva (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Gil Vicente144461724-716
10Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
11Casa Pia133551117-614
12Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
13Nacional13337817-912
14Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
15BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
16AVS132561021-1111
17SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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