Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 2
Braga

Holsgrove (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oliveira (58'), Banza (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, January 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Boavista
Saturday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Braga
19.47% ( -0.05)	22.35% ( -0)	58.17% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 52.91% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.29% (

-0.06)

45.71% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.97% (

-0.05)

68.03% (

0.05)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.55% (

-0.08)

37.45% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.77% (

-0.08)

74.23% (

0.08)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.59% (

-0)

15.41% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.77% (

-0.01)

44.23% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 19.47%

Braga 58.17%

Draw 22.35%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 19.47%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.35%	0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.09% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.44% Total : 58.17%