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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Porto
4 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Evanilson (4', 39'), Taremi (31'), Delgado (55' og.)
Grujic (68'), Mario (82')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Pires (44'), Delgado (69'), Djalo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Atletico
Tuesday, November 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-1 Maritimo
Friday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira

Porto will be licking their lips as they take on a floundering Pacos de Ferreira side who have endured a horrid start to the campaign. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are tipping the Dragoes to ease to a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawPacos de Ferreira
75.4% (0.146 0.15) 15.9% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08) 8.7% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 44.54% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.95% (0.206 0.21)41.05% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.56% (0.21 0.21)63.44% (-0.203 -0.2)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.77% (0.090999999999994 0.09)9.23% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.77% (0.206 0.21)31.23% (-0.199 -0.2)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.07% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)50.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.71% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)85.29%
Score Analysis
    Porto 75.39%
    Pacos de Ferreira 8.7%
    Draw 15.9%
PortoDrawPacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 13.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 10.59% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.15% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.31% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.26% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.01% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.03% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.19% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 75.39%
1-1 @ 7.56% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 15.9%
0-1 @ 3.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 8.7%

How you voted: Porto vs Pacos de Ferreira

Porto
94.0%
Draw
6.0%
Pacos de Ferreira
0.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 6pm
Pacos de Ferreira
2-4
Porto
Delgado (31'), Gaitan (66')
Pepe (17'), Evanilson (38', 52'), Taremi (59')
Vitinha (49'), Uribe (72')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Porto
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Diaz (44'), Wendell (52')
Taremi (16'), Wendell (30'), Pepe (54')
Taremi (90+5')
Santos (19')
Ferreira (17'), Antunes (32'), Denilson (40'), Delgado (79'), Baixinho (83')
Mar 14, 2021 8pm
Porto
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Pepe (77'), Oliveira (78')
Fernandes Conceicao (90')

de Brito Gonzaga (62'), Costa (70')
Oct 30, 2020 8.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
3-2
Porto
Jan (11'), Eustaquio (43'), Costa (59' pen.)
Pedro (84')
Pepa (41')
Oliveira (45+7' pen.), Otavio (78')
Oliveira (84')
Conceicao (90+5')
Jun 29, 2020 9.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Gil Vicente144461724-716
10Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
11Casa Pia133551117-614
12Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
13Nacional13337817-912
14Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
15BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
16AVS132561021-1111
17SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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