Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.34%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.