Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.34%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
| 11.84% ( | 19.08% ( | 69.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% ( | 46.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% ( | 68.44% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.97% ( | 48.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.75% ( | 83.25% ( |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.76% ( | 12.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.05% ( | 37.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 2-1 @ 3.32% ( 2-0 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 11.84% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 2-2 @ 3.49% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 19.08% | 0-2 @ 12.96% ( 0-1 @ 12.34% ( 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0-3 @ 9.08% ( 1-3 @ 6.66% ( 0-4 @ 4.77% ( 1-4 @ 3.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0-5 @ 2% ( 1-5 @ 1.47% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 69.06% |