Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.