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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
BayArena
Porto

B. Leverkusen
0 - 3
Porto

FT(HT: 0-1)
Galeno (6'), Taremi (53' pen., 64' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 Schalke
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Portimonense 0-2 Porto
Saturday, October 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawPorto
34.1% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)24.41% (0.004999999999999 0)41.49% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.69% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)43.31% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.29% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)65.71% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)24.8% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)59.38% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 34.1%
    Porto 41.49%
    Draw 24.4%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawPorto
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 34.1%
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 8.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.49%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Porto

Bayer Leverkusen
52.8%
Draw
18.3%
Porto
28.9%
322
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 8pm
Group B
Porto
2-0
B. Leverkusen
Sanusi (69'), Galeno (87')

Hincapie (40')
Feb 27, 2020 5.55pm
Porto
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Marega (65')
Luis (33'), Oliveira (36'), Uribe (42'), Marcano (54'), Nakajima (76'), Leite (82'), Pepe (82')
Tiquinho (85')
Alario (10'), Demirbay (50'), Havertz (58')
Bender (43'), Demirbay (67'), Weiser (69'), Amiri (82')
Feb 20, 2020 8pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Porto
Alario (29'), Havertz (57' pen.)
Demirbay (66')
Diaz (73')
Corona (26'), Manafa (54'), Uribe (58'), Nakajima (88'), Marcano (90')