Champions League
Oct 12, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT BayArena
  • goal Galeno 6'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 53'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 64'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 4, 2022 8.00pm
Porto 2 - 0 B. Leverkusen

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 4, 2022 8.00pm
Porto 2 - 0 B. Leverkusen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 34.1% (-0.04)
Draw 24.41% (+0.01)
Porto 41.49% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.42% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.69% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 43.31% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 34.29% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 65.71% (+0.03)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 75.2% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 24.8% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 40.63% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.38% (+0.05)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 79.02% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.98% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 46.25% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.75% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 34.1%
Draw 24.4%
Porto 41.49%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.26% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 34.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.4%
Porto
1-2 @ 8.85% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.34% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.49%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 4, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Zaidu Sanusi 69' goal
  • Galeno 87' goal
Europa League
Feb 27, 2020 5.55pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ze Luis 33' yellowcard
  • Sergio Oliveira 36' yellowcard
  • Mateus Uribe 42' yellowcard
  • Ivan Marcano 54' yellowcard
  • Moussa Marega 65' goal
  • Shoya Nakajima 76' yellowcard
  • Diogo Leite 82' yellowcard
  • Pepe 82' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 85' redcard
  • goal Lucas Alario 10'
  • yellowcard Lars Bender 43'
  • goal Kerem Demirbay 50'
  • goal Kai Havertz 58'
  • yellowcard Kerem Demirbay 67'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Weiser 69'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 82'
Europa League
Feb 20, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Alario 29' goal
  • Kai Havertz 57' goal
  • Kerem Demirbay 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesus Corona 26'
  • yellowcard Wilson Manafa 54'
  • yellowcard Mateus Uribe 58'
  • goal Luis Diaz 73'
  • yellowcard Shoya Nakajima 88'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcano 90'