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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 60.1% ( | 20.65% ( | 19.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.69% ( | 38.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.4% ( | 60.59% ( |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% ( | 12.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.7% ( | 38.29% ( |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% | 33.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30% ( | 69.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 3-0 @ 6.27% ( 3-2 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 4-0 @ 3.27% 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 5-1 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.92% Total : 60.1% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.65% | 1-2 @ 5.2% 0-1 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.24% |