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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Schalke

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
Schalke

Diaby (38'), Frimpong (41', 53'), Paulinho (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 2-3 Augsburg
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSchalke 04
60.1% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)20.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)19.24% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 58.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)38.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (-0.002999999999993 -0)60.59% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)38.29% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63%33.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (0.00099999999999767 0)69.99% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 60.1%
    Schalke 04 19.24%
    Draw 20.65%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.78%
4-1 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.27%
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.65%
1-2 @ 5.2%
0-1 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 19.24%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Schalke

Bayer Leverkusen
85.1%
Draw
6.8%
Schalke 04
8.1%
74
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 6, 2020 5pm
Schalke
0-3
B. Leverkusen

Uth (11'), Hoppe (72')
Thiaw (10' og.), Baumgartlinger (67'), Schick (78')
Dragovic (58'), Tah (59'), Sinkgraven (71')
Jun 14, 2020 5pm
Dec 7, 2019 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Schalke
Alario (15', 81')
Wendell (43'), Alario (83')
Raman (82')
Caligiuri (29'), Raman (53')
May 11, 2019 2.30pm