Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Sep 17, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
1 - 0
Schalke

Moukoko (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 2-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Hoffenheim	6	5	12
5	Borussia Dortmund	6	1	12
6	Mainz 05	7	-3	11

Schalke 04

Last Six:

Last Game: Schalke 3-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Hertha Berlin	7	-2	6
13	Schalke 04	6	-5	6
14	Augsburg	6	-6	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Schalke 04
61.55% ( -0.44)	19.69% ( 0.16)	18.76% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 60.97% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.49% (

-0.32)

34.51% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.56% (

-0.36)

56.44% (

0.36)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.14% (

-0.21)

10.86% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.04% (

-0.46)

34.96% (

0.46)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4% (

0.09)

31.6% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99% (

0.1)

68% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 61.55%

Schalke 04 18.76%

Draw 19.69%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Schalke 04
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.98% Total : 61.55%	1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.69%	1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.38% Total : 18.76%