Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Benfica |
| 40.98% | 25.17% | 33.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% ( | 46.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.87% ( | 69.12% ( |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( | 22.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.56% | 56.44% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( | 26.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% ( | 61.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 8.02% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.3% ( 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.84% |