Champions League
Oct 11, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Kylian Mbappe 40' goal
  • goal Joao Mario 62'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 5, 2022 8.00pm
Benfica 1 - 1 PSG

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 5, 2022 8.00pm
Benfica 1 - 1 PSG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 46.68% (-0.08)
Draw 23.42% (+0.02)
Benfica 29.9% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.1% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.69% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 40.31% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 37.31% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 62.68% (+0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 82.45% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 17.55% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 51.91% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 48.09% (+0.07)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 74.1% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.89% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 39.12% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 60.88% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 46.68%
Draw 23.41%
Benfica 29.9%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 46.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.28% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.55% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.41%
Benfica
1-2 @ 7.22% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.14% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 29.9%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 5, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Danilo Pereira 41' goal
  • goal Lionel Messi 22'
Champions League
Dec 10, 2013 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Maxi Pereira 31' yellowcard
  • Lima 45' goal
  • Nicolas Gaitan 58' goal
  • Silvio 87' yellowcard
  • goal Edinson Cavani 37'
  • yellowcard Thiago Motta 50'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Menez 72'
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 77'
Champions League
Oct 2, 2013 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 5' goal
  • Marquinhos 25' goal
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 31' goal
  • Gregory van der Wiel 36' yellowcard
  • Alex 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gaitan 33'

Build-up

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