/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog.png)
-
Mehdi Taremi
5'
-
Stephen Eustaquio
24'
-
Ivan Marcano
90'+4'
(OG)
Porto vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F40%2Fdiego-simeone.jpeg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.11%) and 3-2 (4.96%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match.
Result
Porto
41.39%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
20.75%
▼
(-0.03)
Atletico Madrid
37.86%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
74.44%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
75.82%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
24.18%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
56.16%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 3.5
43.84%
▼
(-0.20)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
86.91%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
13.09%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
60.29%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
39.71%
▼
(-0.17)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
85.66%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
14.34%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
57.8%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
42.2%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Porto
41.39%
Draw
20.75%
Atletico Madrid
37.86%
Porto
2-1
@
7.54%
▼
(-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 41.39%
3-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 41.39%
Draw
1-1
@
7.41%
▼
(-0.04)
2-2 @ 7.32%
3-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.75%
2-2 @ 7.32%
3-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.75%
Atletico Madrid
1-2
@
7.2%
▼
(-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 37.86%
2-3 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 37.86%
