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La Liga

Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Atletico Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Atletico

FT(HT: 0-0)
Griezmann (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-0 Brugge
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
42.65% (0.065000000000005 0.07)28.35% (0.00099999999999767 0)29.01% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.13% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.22% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)60.77% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)80.82% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (0.030000000000001 0.03)63.91% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)37.13% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.07% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)73.92% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 42.64%
    Atletico Madrid 29%
    Draw 28.34%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 42.64%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 29%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico

Athletic Bilbao
30.1%
Draw
29.0%
Atletico Madrid
41.0%
183
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Atletico
Hermoso (8' og.), Williams (56' pen.)
Garcia (25'), Williams (68'), Berenguer (90+1')

Hermoso (1'), Mandava (18'), Lodi (71')
Jan 13, 2022 7pm
Atletico
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Simeone (62' og.)
Vrsaljko (90+1')
Gimenez (90+3')
Alvarez (77'), Williams (81')
Martinez (83'), Vesga (90'), Williams (90+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Kondogbia (36'), Felix (78'), Savic (79'), Cunha (90'), Gimenez (90+7')
Felix (78')

Garcia (30'), Williams Arthuer (82')
Apr 25, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Atletico
Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Atletico
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Llorente (45+2'), Suarez (51' pen.)
Felipe (43'), Lodi (90+4')
Muniain (21')
de Marcos (38'), Vesga (41')