La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 11, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche
1 - 4
Athletic Bilbao

Ponce (59')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Fernandez (9' og.), Sancet (14' pen.), Williams (22'), Berenguer (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Elche and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

Last Six:

Last Game: Villarreal 4-0 Elche
Sunday, September 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Real Valladolid	5	-7	4
18	Elche	4	-8	1
19	Getafe	4	-9	1

Athletic Bilbao

Last Six:

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Espanyol
Sunday, September 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Osasuna	4	3	9
7	Athletic Bilbao	4	4	7
8	Girona	5	1	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Elche had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
28.76% ( 0.89)	28.39% ( 0.15)	42.84% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 44.88% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.97% (

-0.14)

61.03% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.98% (

-0.1)

81.01% (

0.1)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.53% (

0.65)

37.47% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.74% (

0.64)

74.25% (

-0.64)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77% (

-0.62)

28.23% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.07% (

-0.8)

63.93% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Elche 28.76%

Athletic Bilbao 42.83%

Draw 28.38%

Elche	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.73% Total : 28.76%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.38%	0-1 @ 13.37% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.67% Total : 42.83%