Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 50.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Elche |
| 50.08% | 27.84% | 22.08% |
| Both teams to score 41.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.96% | 63.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.5% | 82.5% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% | 25.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.65% | 60.35% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.29% | 44.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.3% | 80.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 15.58% 2-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 8.57% 3-0 @ 4.85% 3-1 @ 3.9% 4-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.57% 4-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.98% Total : 50.08% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 3.45% Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 0.99% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.08% |