La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 30, 2022 at 8pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 0
Almeria

Williams (10'), Sancet (17'), Williams (62'), Vesga (84' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-2 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Almeria
Saturday, September 17 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Almeria
57.61% ( 0.01)	24.13% ( -0)	18.26% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.58% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.56% (

0.01)

54.43% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.2% (

0.01)

75.8% (

-0.01)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.26% (

0.01)

18.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.89% (

0.01)

50.11% (

-0.02)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.09% (

-0)

43.9% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.95% (

-0)

80.05%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 57.6%

Almeria 18.26%

Draw 24.12%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 13.77% 2-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.15% Total : 57.6%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 6.77% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.68% Total : 18.26%