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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Almeria

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 0
Almeria

Williams (10'), Sancet (17'), Williams (62'), Vesga (84' pen.)
Alvarez (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Robertone (40'), Fernandes (57'), Puigmal (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Almeria
Saturday, September 17 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Almeria

We expect a comfortable victory for Athletic on Friday, with their form and confidence very high after quickly adapting to Valverde's management once again. The visitors have failed to score in each of their last three matches and that run is likely to continue against a solid outfit away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlmeria
57.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.13% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 18.26% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.58% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)54.43% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)75.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.73% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.89% (0.012 0.01)50.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.09% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)43.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)80.05%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 57.6%
    Almeria 18.26%
    Draw 24.12%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 13.77%
2-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
5-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 57.6%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 18.26%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Almeria

Athletic Bilbao
85.0%
Draw
10.2%
Almeria
4.8%
167
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2015 9pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Almeria
Etxeita (9'), Rico (26')
Gomez (19'), Laporte (85')
Balenziaga (47' og.)
Dubarbier (13'), Velez (48'), Soriano (80'), Hemed (90'), Partey (93')
Velez (91')
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
May 18, 2014 5pm
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
Athletic Bilbao
6-1
Almeria
Mikel Rico (6'), Herrera (11'), Laporte (30'), Aduriz (52'), Gomez (68', 86' pen.)
San Jose (34'), Mikel Rico (63')
Barbosa (34')
Torsiglieri (36')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe173771114-316
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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