La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
0 - 1
Osasuna

FT(HT: 0-1)

Avila (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Valladolid 1-0 Almeria
Monday, September 5 at 8pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Mallorca	5	-2	5
14	Almeria	4	-1	4
15	Espanyol	5	-4	4

Osasuna

Last Six:

Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, September 4 at 1pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Atletico Madrid	5	5	10
7	Osasuna	4	3	9
8	Girona	5	1	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Osasuna
49.62% ( 1.68)	25.83% ( -0.35)	24.55% ( -1.33)

Both teams to score 48.94% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.71% (

0.37)

54.28% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.32% (

0.31)

75.68% (

-0.31)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.09% (

0.91)

21.91% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.83% (

1.36)

55.17% (

-1.36)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67% (

-0.95)

37.32% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.89% (

-0.95)

74.11% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Almeria 49.61%

Osasuna 24.55%

Draw 25.82%

Almeria	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.61%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.55%