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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Osauna logo

Almeria
0 - 1
Osasuna

FT(HT: 0-1)
Avila (28')
Garcia (5'), Gomez (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Almeria 1-1 Osasuna

Almeria have already beaten Sevilla at home this season, while they only narrowly lost to Real Madrid, so this has the potential to be a tough match for Osasuna. The visitors have made a strong start to the season, but we can see the points being shared in a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
AlmeriaDrawOsasuna
49.62% (1.683 1.68) 25.83% (-0.353 -0.35) 24.55% (-1.33 -1.33)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.71% (0.374 0.37)54.28% (-0.374 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32% (0.312 0.31)75.68% (-0.312 -0.31)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (0.908 0.91)21.91% (-0.908 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83% (1.359 1.36)55.17% (-1.358 -1.36)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.954 -0.95)37.32% (0.955 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.954 -0.95)74.11% (0.955 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 49.61%
    Osasuna 24.55%
    Draw 25.82%
AlmeriaDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 12.41% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.365 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.307 0.31)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.187 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.162 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.333 -0.33)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: Almeria vs Osasuna

Almeria
29.8%
Draw
23.9%
Osasuna
46.3%
188
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2021 8pm
Almeria
0-0
Osasuna
Almeria win 5-4 on penalties

Fernandes (116')

Garcia (68'), Vidal (72'), Sanjurjo (119')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Saveljich (24'), Aguza (64'), de la Hoz (78'), Rioja (90')
Brandon (75')
Hernandez (34'), Brandon (88')
Sep 8, 2018 3pm
Osasuna
3-1
Almeria
Villar (14'), Castro (64' pen.), Barja (70')
Hernandez (38')
Gimenez (16')
Trujillo (60')
Feb 10, 2018 7pm
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Marreh (45'), Fernandez (75')
Rodriguez (50')
Lasso (54'), Merida (86'), Torres (86')
Sep 16, 2017 7pm
Osasuna
2-1
Almeria
Quique (70'), Coris (77')
Torro (54'), Sanjurjo (71'), Xisco (74')
Fidel (22')
Mandi (14'), Morcillo (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid17114237162137
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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