Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.