La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 4, 2022 at 1pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Oroz (54'), Garcia (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lejeune (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Betis 1-0 Osasuna
Friday, August 26 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Real Sociedad	4	-1	7
9	Osasuna	3	2	6
10	Mallorca	4	1	5

Rayo Vallecano

Last Six:

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-2 Mallorca
Saturday, August 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Girona	4	0	4
13	Rayo Vallecano	3	0	4
14	Valencia	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 46.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
46.52% ( -0.03)	28.43% ( -0)	25.04% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 42.43% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.1% (

0.04)

62.9% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.61% (

0.03)

82.39% (

-0.03)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

0.01)

27.18% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

0.01)

62.59% (

-0.01)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.27% (

0.05)

41.73% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.8% (

0.05)

78.2% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 46.52%

Rayo Vallecano 25.04%

Draw 28.43%

Osasuna	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 14.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 46.52%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.43%	0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.18% Total : 25.04%