La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Real Valladolid
1 - 0
Almeria

Weissman (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

Last Six:

Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Real Valladolid
Sunday, August 28 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Sevilla	4	-5	1
17	Real Valladolid	3	-7	1
18	Elche	4	-8	1

Almeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, August 27 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Mallorca	4	1	5
12	Almeria	3	0	4
13	Girona	4	0	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Almeria
45.98% ( 3.83)	25.55% ( -0.25)	28.46% ( -3.58)

Both teams to score 52.94% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.39% (

-0.51)

50.6% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.48% (

-0.45)

72.51% (

0.45)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.01% (

1.59)

21.99% (

-1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.7% (

2.36)

55.3% (

-2.36)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86% (

-2.78)

32.14% (

2.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38% (

-3.28)

68.62% (

3.28)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 45.98%

Almeria 28.46%

Draw 25.55%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.7) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.88) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.38) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.61) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.98%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.46) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.62) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.65) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.4) Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.46%