| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Valencia | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Mallorca | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Almeria | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Mallorca | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Almeria | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 5 | -4 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Almeria |
| 37.21% ( | 27.9% ( | 34.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.08% ( | 57.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.37% ( | 78.63% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% ( | 29.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.94% ( | 66.06% ( |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( | 31.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.22% ( | 67.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 4-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.21% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 2-2 @ 4.59% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.88% |