Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 32.51% ( | 26.78% ( | 40.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% ( | 53.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.58% ( | 75.42% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.01% ( | 30.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( | 67.29% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% ( | 26.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.88% ( | 61.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.51% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.71% |