Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
32.51% ( 0.09) | 26.78% ( 0.07) | 40.71% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.03% ( -0.26) | 53.97% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.58% ( -0.22) | 75.42% ( 0.22) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.01% ( -0.07) | 30.99% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.71% ( -0.08) | 67.29% ( 0.08) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( -0.2) | 26.07% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% ( -0.27) | 61.12% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.51% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |