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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Athletic Bilbao logo

Sevilla
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Torres (4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vesga (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 1-4 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
32.51% (0.090000000000003 0.09)26.78% (0.07 0.07)40.71% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.02% (-0.191 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03% (-0.256 -0.26)53.97% (0.257 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.58% (-0.216 -0.22)75.42% (0.21600000000001 0.22)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)30.99% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)67.29% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (-0.202 -0.2)26.07% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (-0.273 -0.27)61.12% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 32.51%
    Athletic Bilbao 40.71%
    Draw 26.78%
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.51%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 10.86% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.71%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla
21.3%
Draw
14.0%
Athletic Bilbao
64.7%
136
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 9pm
Sevilla
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Mir (68')
Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')

Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')
May 3, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Sevilla
Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')