Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
1 - 4
Dortmund

En-Nesyri (51')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Guerreiro (6'), Bellingham (41'), Adeyemi (43'), Brandt (75')

Reaction

Borussia Dortmund's Raphael Guerreiro celebrates scoring against Sevilla on October 5, 2022

Jude Bellingham-inspired Borussia Dortmund thrash Sevilla

Jude Bellingham writes himself into another chapter of the history books with an exemplary performance as Borussia Dortmund thump Sevilla 4-1 in Champions League Group G.

Oct 5, 20:54

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sevilla and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Atletico
Saturday, October 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Dortmund
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
43.09% ( -0.17)	23.46% ( -0)	33.45% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 62.72% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.08% (

0.06)

38.91% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.77% (

0.06)

61.23% (

-0.07)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.55% (

-0.05)

18.44% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.37% (

-0.08)

49.62% (

0.08)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91% (

0.12)

23.09% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.06% (

0.18)

56.93% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 43.09%

Borussia Dortmund 33.45%

Draw 23.45%

Sevilla	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.45%