Champions League
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Youssef En-Nesyri
51'
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Raphael Guerreiro
6'
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Jude Bellingham
41'
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Karim Adeyemi
43'
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Julian Brandt
75'
Sevilla vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result
Sevilla
43.09%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
23.46%
▼
(-0.01)
Borussia Dortmund
33.45%
▲
(+0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
62.72%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.08%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
38.91%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
38.77%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
61.23%
▼
(-0.07)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5
81.55%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
18.44%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
50.37%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
49.62%
▲
(+0.08)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
76.91%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
23.09%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
43.06%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
56.93%
▼
(-0.19)
Score analysis
Sevilla
43.09%
Draw
23.45%
Borussia Dortmund
33.45%
Sevilla
2-1
@
8.92%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.68%
3-0 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 43.09%
1-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.68%
3-0 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 43.09%
Draw
1-1
@
10.55%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.45%
2-2 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.45%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
@
7.73%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 33.45%
0-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 33.45%
Head to Head
-
Mateu Morey
20'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
35'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
54'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
55'
-
Emre Can
67'
-
Marcos Acuna
40'
-
Jules Kounde
51'
-
Joan Jordan
55'
-
Youssef En-Nesyri
69'
-
Oscar
71'
-
Fernando
76'
-
Diego Carlos
77'
-
Youssef En-Nesyri
90'+6'