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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
36.35% ( -0.54) | 24.04% ( -0) | 39.61% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 61.22% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.84% ( -0.03) | 41.16% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.44% ( -0.03) | 63.56% ( 0.03) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.43% ( -0.29) | 22.57% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.84% ( -0.43) | 56.16% ( 0.43) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.06% ( 0.24) | 20.94% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.32% ( 0.38) | 53.68% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.35% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 39.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
11 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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