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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Koln logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 4
FC Koln

Nmecha (2', 79')
van de Ven (38'), Marmoush (82')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ljubicic (22'), Otavio (32' og.), Kainz (45+2' pen.), Adamyan (81')
Duda (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 FC Koln

Unlikely to be a high-scoring classic, given both sides' recent results in the Bundesliga, a close-fought draw could be on the cards. With their Conference League campaign kicking off next week amid the glamour of Nice, it may be that Koln take their eye off the ball and have to settle for a solitary point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawFC Koln
37.46% (1.402 1.4) 24.51% (-0.201 -0.2) 38.04% (-1.201 -1.2)
Both teams to score 59.57% (0.831 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68% (1.034 1.03)43.33% (-1.033 -1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.28% (1.007 1.01)65.72% (-1.008 -1.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (1.218 1.22)22.97% (-1.219 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (1.76 1.76)56.75% (-1.759 -1.76)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.149 -0.15)22.67% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)56.31% (0.222 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 37.46%
    FC Koln 38.04%
    Draw 24.5%
WolfsburgDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.182 0.18)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.231 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.167 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.135 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.095 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.46%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.393 -0.39)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.318 -0.32)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.04%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs FC Koln

Wolfsburg
51.7%
Draw
34.5%
FC Koln
13.8%
29
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Nmecha (8'), Weghorst (51')
Nmecha (14'), Roussillon (80'), Arnold (81')
Modeste (34', 89'), Uth (73')
Schmitz (61'), Czichos (87')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Wolfsburg
Thielmann (18'), Duda (43')
Arnold (29'), Weghorst (47')
Otavio (90+1')
Jan 18, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
3-1
Wolfsburg
Cordoba (22', 45'), Hector (62')
Thielmann (66'), Hector (81'), Jakobs (86')
Steffen (66')
Brooks (19'), Schlager (25'), Weghorst (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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