UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 25, 2022 at 6pm UK

MOL Aréna Sóstó (Székesfehérvár)

Fehervar
0 - 3
FC Koln

(FC Koln win 4-2 on aggregate)

Zivzivadze (65'), Heister (68'), Lednev (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hubers (10'), Skhiri (46'), Schindler (90+4')
Ljubicic (45+1'), Kilian (59'), Hector (89'), Schindler (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fehervar and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fehervar

Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Fehervar
Thursday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

FC Koln

Last Six:

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, August 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Borussia Dortmund	3	2	6
8	FC Koln	3	2	5
9	Werder Bremen	3	1	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
Fehervar	Draw	FC Koln
36.95% ( -0.06)	26.58% ( 0.07)	36.46% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.29% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.36% (

-0.29)

52.64% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.71% (

-0.25)

74.28% (

0.25)

Fehervar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.45% (

-0.18)

27.54% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.94% (

-0.23)

63.06% (

0.22)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

-0.15)

27.83% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

-0.19)

63.43% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Fehervar 36.95%

FC Koln 36.46%

Draw 26.58%

Fehervar	Draw	FC Koln
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.95%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.46%