UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 28, 2022 at 5pm UK

Qabala City Stadium

Qabala
2 - 1
Fehervar

(Fehervar win 5-3 on aggregate)

Muradov (34'), Santos (73')
Alimi (10'), Renato (55'), Muradov (69'), Qirtimov (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zivzivadze (44')
Fiola (35'), Stopira (58'), Nego (80'), Shabanov (90+4')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Qabala and Fehervar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qabala

Last Game: Fehervar 4-1 Qabala
Thursday, July 21 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Fehervar

Last Game: Fehervar 4-1 Qabala
Thursday, July 21 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qabala win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qabala win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qabala would win this match.

Result
Qabala	Draw	Fehervar
41.64% ( 0.03)	25.08% ( -0.02)	33.28% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.82% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.4% (

0.09)

46.6% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.13% (

0.09)

68.87% (

-0.09)

Qabala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.68% (

0.05)

22.32% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.21% (

0.08)

55.79% (

-0.08)

Fehervar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

0.04)

26.85% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.84% (

0.05)

62.16% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Qabala 41.64%

Fehervar 33.28%

Draw 25.08%

Qabala	Draw	Fehervar
1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.64%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.28%