UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 21, 2022 at 6pm UK

MOL Aréna Sóstó (Székesfehérvár)

Fehervar
4 - 1
Qabala

(Fehervar win 5-3 on aggregate)

Kodro (30', 74'), Rus (67'), Zivzivadze (90')
Petryak (60')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Utzig (16')
Isayev (45'), Musayev (69'), Safarov (88')
Musayev (86')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Fehervar and Qabala.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fehervar

Last Game: Fehervar 1-0 Galatasaray
Wednesday, July 13 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Qabala

Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 Qabala
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Qabala had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Qabala win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.

Result
Fehervar	Draw	Qabala
43.33% ( -0.01)	25.07% ( 0.01)	31.6% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.26% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.94% (

-0.05)

47.06% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.7% (

-0.05)

69.3% (

0.05)

Fehervar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29% (

-0.02)

21.71% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.13% (

-0.04)

54.87% (

0.04)

Qabala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87% (

-0.03)

28.14% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.19% (

-0.03)

63.81% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Fehervar 43.33%

Qabala 31.6%

Draw 25.06%

Fehervar	Draw	Qabala
1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.33%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.6%