Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.