Champions League
Oct 26, 2022 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Yannick Carrasco 22' goal
  • Rodrigo De Paul 50' goal
  • goal Moussa Diaby 9'
  • goal Callum Hudson-Odoi 29'

Atletico Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 12, 2022 5.45pm
Atletico 0 - 0 Brugge

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 12, 2022 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 0 - 3 Porto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Madrid 42.24% (+0.04)
Draw 27.05% (-0.08)
Bayer Leverkusen 30.7% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.56% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.46% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 55.53% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 23.29% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 76.71% (-0.24)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 74.02% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 25.97% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 39% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 60.99% (-0.20)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 66.95% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 33.05% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 30.36% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 69.64% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 42.24%
Draw 27.05%
Bayer Leverkusen 30.7%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.64% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.8% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.88% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.78% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.05%
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.09% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.62% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.7%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 13, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Robert Andrich 84' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 87' goal
Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 6, 2019 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Thomas Partey 41' goal
  • Mitchell Weiser 50' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 55' goal
  • Karim Bellarabi 79' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Tah 79' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 84' redcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 79'
  • yellowcard Jan Oblak 80'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 94'
Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2019 5.55pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Koke 54' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Morata 78' goal
  • yellowcard Karim Bellarabi 38'
Champions League
Mar 15, 2017 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jose Gimenez 66' yellowcard
  • Nico Gaitan 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tin Jedvaj 64'
  • yellowcard Julian Baumgartlinger 71'
Champions League
Feb 21, 2017 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Benjamin Henrichs 15' yellowcard
  • Karim Bellarabi 48' goal
  • Aleksandar Dragovic 58' yellowcard
  • Wendell 64' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 68' goal
  • Charles Aranguiz 74' yellowcard
  • goal Saul Niguez 17'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 25'
  • goal Kevin Gameiro 58'
  • goal Fernando Torres 86'
  • yellowcard Fernando Torres 88'
  • yellowcard Gabi 89'
  • yellowcard Filipe Luis 90'
Champions League
Mar 17, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mario Suarez 27' goal
  • Jose Maria Gimenez 30' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gamez 72' yellowcard
  • Mario Suarez 75' yellowcard
  • Fernando Torres 110' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emir Spahic 26'
  • yellowcard Omer Toprak 65'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 78'
  • yellowcard Wendell 89'
  • yellowcard Stefan Kiessling 102'
  • yellowcard Kyriakos Papadopoulos 113'