Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 16.77% ( | 23.5% ( | 59.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.78% ( | 54.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.38% ( | 75.62% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.36% ( | 45.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.56% ( | 81.44% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( | 17.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.35% ( | 48.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 2-1 @ 4.32% ( 2-0 @ 2.51% ( 3-1 @ 1.13% ( 3-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.43% Total : 16.77% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 2-2 @ 3.72% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 14.04% ( 0-2 @ 12.09% ( 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0-3 @ 6.94% ( 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0-4 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0-5 @ 1.03% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.73% |