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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Atletico Madrid logo

Cadiz
3 - 2
Atletico

Bongonda (1'), Fernandez (81'), Sobrino (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hernandez (85' og.), Felix (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 5-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
16.77% (-0.064 -0.06)23.5% (-0.067 -0.07)59.73% (0.135 0.13)
Both teams to score 44.65% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.78% (0.15 0.15)54.22% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.125 0.13)75.62% (-0.121 -0.12)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.36% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (0.104 0.1)17.87% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (0.177 0.18)48.65% (-0.174 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 16.77%
    Atletico Madrid 59.73%
    Draw 23.5%
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 16.77%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.16% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 14.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.94% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.99% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.73%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Atletico

Cadiz
14.3%
Draw
6.1%
Atletico Madrid
79.6%
98
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 8pm
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Gimenez (87')
Cala (21'), Gil (45+1'), Fali (45+1')
Morata (13'), Niguez (45'), Wass (46'), Griezmann (51')
Griezmann (56')
Mar 11, 2022 8pm
Atletico
2-1
Cadiz
Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')
Nov 28, 2021 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')
Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')
Jan 31, 2021 3.15pm
Cadiz
2-4
Atletico
Negredo (35', 71')
Izquierdo (40')
Suarez (28', 50'), Niguez (44'), Koke (88')
Torreira (38'), Felix (41'), Vrsaljko (73'), Koke (76'), Kondogbia (85')
Nov 7, 2020 8pm
Atletico
4-0
Cadiz
Felix (8', 90'), Llorente (22'), Suarez (51')
Kondogbia (85')

Jonsson (57')