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La Liga

Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Cadiz logo

Rayo Vallecano
5 - 1
Cadiz

Isi (44' pen.), Garcia (45+1'), Lejeune (63', 89'), Camello (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Balliu (82' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Cadiz

All competitions
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Betis
Wednesday, October 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawCadiz
51.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)27.05% (0.041999999999998 0.04)21.26% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 42.19% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.76% (-0.213 -0.21)61.24% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.83% (-0.16 -0.16)81.17% (0.158 0.16)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)23.95% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.82% (-0.102 -0.1)58.18% (0.1 0.1)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.48% (-0.223 -0.22)44.52% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.45% (-0.183 -0.18)80.55% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 51.68%
    Cadiz 21.26%
    Draw 27.05%
Rayo VallecanoDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 15.23% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 10.88% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.85%
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 51.68%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 10.66% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 21.26%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz

Rayo Vallecano
85.9%
Draw
9.4%
Cadiz
4.7%
64
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 1pm
Cadiz
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Alcaraz (55'), Idrissi (63')
Akapo (10'), Alcaraz (37'), Idrissi (45+1'), Alejo (65'), Sobrino (82')

Isi (12'), Garcia (45+2'), Maras (62')
Sep 26, 2021 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
3-1
Cadiz
Garcia (9'), Falcao (44'), Isi (87')
Isi (50'), Balliu (59')
Haroyan (23')
Bastida (45+1'), Haroyan (48'), Cala (56'), Perea (90+3')
Jun 14, 2020 8.30pm
Cadiz
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Gimenez (85')
Mari (39'), Cala (72'), Alex (90+4')
Trejo (52')
Qasmi (39'), Advincula (40'), Villar (90+4')
Montiel (90+2')
Nov 10, 2019 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Cadiz
Trejo (74')
Advincula (57'), Saveljich (78'), Montiel (83'), Trejo (85'), Ulloa (93')
Alejo (38')
Gonzalez (55'), Mauro (63'), Lozano (83')
Apr 1, 2018 5pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Cadiz
Trejo (18')
Guerra (79')
Barral (40')
Abdullah (87')