La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 10, 2022 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Valencia

Isi (5'), Gonzalez (52' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diakhaby (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

Last Six:

Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, September 4 at 1pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Almeria	4	-1	4
14	Rayo Vallecano	4	-1	4
15	Espanyol	4	-3	4

Valencia

Last Six:

Last Game: Valencia 5-1 Getafe
Sunday, September 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Real Sociedad	4	-1	7
11	Valencia	4	3	6
12	Mallorca	4	1	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Valencia
40.59% ( -0.22)	28.2% ( 0.09)	31.2% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 46.41% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.39% (

-0.27)

59.6% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.06% (

-0.21)

79.93% (

0.21)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

-0.26)

28.79% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

-0.32)

64.63% (

0.32)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17% (

-0.05)

34.82% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44% (

-0.05)

71.56% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 40.59%

Valencia 31.2%

Draw 28.19%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.65% Total : 40.59%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.19%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.2%