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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Valencia logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Valencia

Isi (5'), Gonzalez (52' og.)
Balliu (21'), Isi (35'), Dimitrievski (62'), Comesana (63'), Trejo (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diakhaby (90+3')
Musah (68'), Correia (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia

Five of the last seven La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we are backing another draw here. Valencia will be full of confidence due to their strong win last time out, but we believe that Rayo have enough quality to secure a point in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
40.59% (-0.224 -0.22) 28.2% (0.087 0.09) 31.2% (0.136 0.14)
Both teams to score 46.41% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39% (-0.275 -0.27)59.6% (0.272 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06% (-0.212 -0.21)79.93% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.259 -0.26)28.79% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-0.323 -0.32)64.63% (0.321 0.32)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)34.82% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)71.56% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 40.59%
    Valencia 31.2%
    Draw 28.19%
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 12.48% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.02% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.2%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia

Rayo Vallecano
18.3%
Draw
26.0%
Valencia
55.8%
104
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2022 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Valencia
Guardiola (83')
Lopez (5'), Balliu (90+3'), Catena (90+9')
Soler (57')
Moriba (8'), Duro (42'), Maranhao (74'), Correia (90+9')
Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Soler (19' pen.)
Soler (27'), Diakhaby (45'), Alderete (45+2'), Gaya (55'), Foulquier (62'), Wass (68')
Isi (64')
Saveljich (18'), Comesana (54'), Isi (55'), Catena (73'), Valentin (75')
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 24, 2018 3.15pm
Valencia
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mina (35', 61'), Gameiro (76')
Diakhaby (28'), Soler (74')

Advincula (22'), Comesana (41'), Galvez (51')
Advincula (87')
Jan 17, 2016 11am
Valencia
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Negredo (55'), Alcacer (88')
Alcacer (87')
Sanchez (15'), Llorente (69')
Llorente (19'), Ruz Quini (78'), Bangoura (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid17114237162137
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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