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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Valencia logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Valencia

Isi (5'), Gonzalez (52' og.)
Balliu (21'), Isi (35'), Dimitrievski (62'), Comesana (63'), Trejo (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diakhaby (90+3')
Musah (68'), Correia (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia

Five of the last seven La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we are backing another draw here. Valencia will be full of confidence due to their strong win last time out, but we believe that Rayo have enough quality to secure a point in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
40.59% (-0.224 -0.22) 28.2% (0.087 0.09) 31.2% (0.136 0.14)
Both teams to score 46.41% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39% (-0.275 -0.27)59.6% (0.272 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06% (-0.212 -0.21)79.93% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.259 -0.26)28.79% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-0.323 -0.32)64.63% (0.321 0.32)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)34.82% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)71.56% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 40.59%
    Valencia 31.2%
    Draw 28.19%
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 12.48% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.02% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.2%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia

Rayo Vallecano
18.3%
Draw
26.0%
Valencia
55.8%
104
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2022 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Valencia
Guardiola (83')
Lopez (5'), Balliu (90+3'), Catena (90+9')
Soler (57')
Moriba (8'), Duro (42'), Maranhao (74'), Correia (90+9')
Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Soler (19' pen.)
Soler (27'), Diakhaby (45'), Alderete (45+2'), Gaya (55'), Foulquier (62'), Wass (68')
Isi (64')
Saveljich (18'), Comesana (54'), Isi (55'), Catena (73'), Valentin (75')
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 24, 2018 3.15pm
Valencia
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mina (35', 61'), Gameiro (76')
Diakhaby (28'), Soler (74')

Advincula (22'), Comesana (41'), Galvez (51')
Advincula (87')
Jan 17, 2016 11am
Valencia
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Negredo (55'), Alcacer (88')
Alcacer (87')
Sanchez (15'), Llorente (69')
Llorente (19'), Ruz Quini (78'), Bangoura (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2GironaGirona33225669402971
3Barcelona32217464372770
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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