| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Elche | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 19 | Getafe | 4 | -9 | 1 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 4 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 4 | 10 | 10 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 4 | 9 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 11.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Barcelona |
| 11.91% ( | 17.78% ( | 70.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.91% ( | 40.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.55% ( | 62.45% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.99% ( | 44.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.86% ( | 80.14% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.78% ( | 10.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.47% ( | 33.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 3.69% ( 2-1 @ 3.46% ( 2-0 @ 1.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.08% ( 3-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.23% Total : 11.91% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 2-2 @ 3.94% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 17.78% | 0-2 @ 11.7% ( 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0-3 @ 8.9% ( 1-3 @ 7.3% ( 0-4 @ 5.07% ( 1-4 @ 4.16% ( 2-3 @ 3% ( 0-5 @ 2.31% ( 1-5 @ 1.9% ( 2-4 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 4.4% Total : 70.31% |