La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 21, 2021 at 1pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
1 - 1
Cadiz

Messi (32' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alex (89' pen.)
Alejo (82'), Mari (85')

Reaction

Barcelona manager Ronald Koeman pictured in February 2021

Ronald Koeman: 'Draw with Cadiz more disappointing than Paris Saint-Germain loss'

Barcelona were beaten 4-1 by PSG in the Champions League in midweek.

Feb 21, 16:30

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 77.45%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 8.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Cadiz
77.45%	13.85%	8.7%

Both teams to score 52.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.47%

30.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.16%

51.84%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.62%

6.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.07%

23.93%

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.54%

43.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.32%

79.68%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 77.45%

Cadiz 8.7%

Draw 13.85%

Barcelona	Draw	Cadiz
2-0 @ 10.5% 3-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 8.03% 1-0 @ 7.63% 4-0 @ 6.63% 4-1 @ 5.53% 5-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 3.35% 5-1 @ 3.04% 4-2 @ 2.3% 6-0 @ 1.68% 6-1 @ 1.4% 5-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 4.05% Total : 77.45%	1-1 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 3.65% 0-0 @ 2.77% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.85%	1-2 @ 2.65% 0-1 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.01% 0-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.76% Total : 8.7%