La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 7, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Benito Villamarin

Real Betis
2 - 3
Barcelona

Iglesias (38'), Ruiz (75')
Ruiz (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Messi (59'), Ruiz (68' og.), Trincao (87')
de Jong (47'), Dembele (64'), Busquets (74')

Reaction

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 12.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Real Betis win it was 1-0 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Real Betis	Draw	Barcelona
12.27%	17.92%	69.82%

Both teams to score 50.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.21%

39.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.85%

62.15%

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.76%

43.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.51%

79.49%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.74%

10.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.38%

33.63%

Score Analysis

Real Betis 12.27%

Barcelona 69.81%

Draw 17.92%

Real Betis	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 3.72% 2-1 @ 3.55% 2-0 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 1.13% 3-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.31% Total : 12.27%	1-1 @ 8.47% 0-0 @ 4.44% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.97% Total : 17.92%	0-2 @ 11.5% 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 8.73% 1-3 @ 7.32% 0-4 @ 4.97% 1-4 @ 4.17% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-5 @ 2.26% 1-5 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.75% Other @ 4.41% Total : 69.81%