La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 2

Jan 6, 2021 at 8pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 3
Barcelona

Williams (3'), Muniain (90')
Vesga (27'), Garcia (70')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Pedri (14'), Messi (38', 62')
Lenglet (57')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 10.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.27%) and 0-3 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Barcelona
10.16%	17.76%	72.08%

Both teams to score 44.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.1%

44.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.74%

67.26%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.65%

50.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.1%

84.9%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.93%

11.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.56%

35.45%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 10.16%

Barcelona 72.08%

Draw 17.76%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 3.83% 2-1 @ 2.89% 2-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.14% Total : 10.16%	1-1 @ 8.42% 0-0 @ 5.58% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.59% Total : 17.76%	0-2 @ 13.5% 0-1 @ 12.27% 0-3 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 9.27% 1-3 @ 6.8% 0-4 @ 5.45% 1-4 @ 3.74% 0-5 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-5 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.49% Total : 72.08%