La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 19, 2020 at 3.15pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
2 - 2
Valencia

Messi (45+4'), Araujo (52')
Griezmann (13'), Mingueza (56'), Alba (90+1'), Lenglet (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Diakhaby (29'), Gomez (69')
Gaya (45+4'), Blanco (45+7')

Reaction

Barcelona manager Ronald Koeman pictured in October 2020

Ronald Koeman admits Barcelona "not good enough" in Valencia draw

Lionel Messi's landmark 643rd goal for the club was not enough to secure victory over Valencia.

Dec 19, 19:40

Lionel Messi is congratulated for his record-equalling 643rd goal for Barcelona on December 19, 2020

Lionel Messi equals Pele record with 643rd Barcelona goal

Lionel Messi scored against Valencia on Saturday to go level with Pele, who netted 643 goals for Santos between 1956 and 1974.

Dec 19, 17:44

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.91%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Valencia
69.91%	17.54%	12.55%

Both teams to score 53.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.8%

37.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.59%

59.4%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.45%

9.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.02%

31.97%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.91%

41.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.37%

77.63%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 69.91%

Valencia 12.55%

Draw 17.54%

Barcelona	Draw	Valencia
2-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 7.54% 4-0 @ 4.98% 4-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.35% 5-0 @ 2.34% 5-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.97% 5-2 @ 0.93% 6-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.25% Total : 69.91%	1-1 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 4.28% 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.54%	1-2 @ 3.65% 0-1 @ 3.49% 0-2 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.27% 1-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.51% Total : 12.55%