La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 22, 2020 at 9pm UK

Jose Zorrilla

Real Valladolid
0 - 3
Barcelona

Fernandez (77')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lenglet (21'), Braithwaite (35'), Messi (65')
Alba (62'), de Jong (68')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 80%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 6.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.37%) and 0-1 (11.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Barcelona
6.14%	13.86%	80%

Both teams to score 38.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.63%

41.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.22%

63.78%

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.09%

57.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.45%

89.55%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.76%

8.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.2%

28.81%

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 6.14%

Barcelona 80%

Draw 13.86%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 2.61% 2-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 1.76% Total : 6.14%	1-1 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 4.77% 2-2 @ 2.22% Other @ 0.37% Total : 13.86%	0-2 @ 14.87% 0-3 @ 12.37% 0-1 @ 11.91% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-4 @ 7.72% 1-3 @ 6.76% 1-4 @ 4.22% 0-5 @ 3.86% 1-5 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-6 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.45% Total : 80%