Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.